Well, the cycle is over. I've put in my deposit(s) at SMU, and withdrawn every where else. Now it's time to evaluate that handy little tool, Law School Predictor (LSP). A lot of you may remember that I seriously advocated to use of this website to determine where you should target your applications. Here we'll find out how accurate it actually is!
In any given cycle there can be a number of game changers, and no cycle can be predicted with 100% accuracy EVER. I got a few surprises during my cycle (dinged at Samford, whaaaat?), but for the most part everything went pretty smoothly.
San Diego Kentucky Penn State Arkansas - Fayetteville Santa Clara San Francisco
Akron Arkansas - Little Rock Memphis Texas California Campbell Dayton Texas Whittier Phoenix Western State
In any given cycle there can be a number of game changers, and no cycle can be predicted with 100% accuracy EVER. I got a few surprises during my cycle (dinged at Samford, whaaaat?), but for the most part everything went pretty smoothly.
So, here we go. In this following list, the outcomes that surprised me are bolded. Please note: not every school is represented on LSP.
Iowa: Deny (8%) → (withdrew)
Wake Forest
Southern Methodist: Consider (25%) → In
Case Western Reserve : Consider (31%) → Dinged
Loyola Marymount: Consider (27%) → (withdrew)
Baylor: Consider (24%) → In
DePaul: Admit (49%) → In
Pacific: Admit (57%) → In
Ole Miss: Strong Consider (70%) → Dinged
Pacific*: Admit (90%) → In
Samford: Admit (87%) → Dinged
Southwestern: Admit (>95%) → Waitlisted
Thomas Jefferson: Admit (>95%) → In
UC Irvine: (no predicition) → Dinged
* = Pacific is listed twice, once on the Top 100 list, and once on the Unranked list. Each time it had different data listed, so I just put it down both times.
These results show what happens when I click the URM box. Some schools looked at me as a URM, and some didn't...it depends on if they looked at me as "Hispanic" or "Central American." Mexicans and Puerto Ricans are the two latino ethnic groups that get the URM boost a majority of the time; other latino groups (like Guatemalan) are not considered URM, and thusly are SOL. If I had entered my data without checking the URM box, a lot of the considers became "weak consider" or "deny" choices, instead, and some of my admits turned into "considers."
Overall, I'd say that my cycle went well, with a couple of good surprises, and a couple of not-so-good surprises. I think that LSP was a fairly accurate tool, and it definitely helped me focus on where I could/should apply. I'd recommend that any law student take a look at the LSP results for their data before sending out their application.
If you want to get a more thorough picture of all of the schools I applied to, when my applications went out, and how much money I got at each school, you can check out my LSN profile.
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